Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f603ff8fa8a3f7efde6a9cc8887f71cf188f2e5d8e3680e04304eb00a2c9e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peay Governorsof Stetson Hatters, Austin Peay Governors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Austin Peay Governors | 79c | 14,998$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stetson Hatters | 27c | 6,007$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stetson Hatters | 21c | 4,663$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.62 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stetson Hatters | 17c | 3,933$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.84 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Stetson Hatters | 14c | 2,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Stetson Hatters | 14c | 721.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Stetson Hatters | 15c | 556.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stetson Hatters | 28c | 481.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stetson Hatters | 11c | 473.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Stetson Hatters | 16c | 410.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stetson Hatters | 7c | 323.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Stetson Hatters | 6c | 309.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stetson Hatters | 15c | 291.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Stetson Hatters | 28c | 276.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…ffedbacked Stetson Hatters | 8c | 275.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Austin Peay Governors | 77c | 257.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stetson Hatters | 26c | 242.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Stetson Hatters | 10c | 233.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…7a87backed Stetson Hatters | 24c | 230.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Stetson Hatters | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stetson Hatters | 11c | 182.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Stetson Hatters | 24c | 176.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stetson Hatters | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Stetson Hatters | 12c | 161.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Stetson Hatters | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Stetson Hatters | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stetson Hatters | 22c | 113.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Stetson Hatters | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…5960backed Stetson Hatters | 35c | 93.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Stetson Hatters | 29c | 80.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Stetson Hatters | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Austin Peay Governors | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Austin Peay Governors | 75c | 38.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…d7b1backed Stetson Hatters | 29c | 38.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Stetson Hatters | 29c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Austin Peay Governors | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governorsthis page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-13.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-14.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 146.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 149.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.