Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31596cbd0d180b2a1646def88e5a4b0532038b0b2bfc2ae83e6da302ebc3fc0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Austin Peay Governors, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 819.72$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Stetson Hatters | 47c | 249.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stetson Hatters | 47c | 230.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stetson Hatters | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stetson Hatters | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Stetson Hatters | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Stetson Hatters | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Stetson Hatters | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Austin Peay Governors | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stetson Hatters | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Austin Peay Governors | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-14.5)this page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-13.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 146.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 149.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.