Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb4ee6a22399fffec4f533b7d47eaa834a372504b6e45d544378def555e7fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 56c | 25,235$14,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,088.66 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 44c | 6,766$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.07 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,685$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 56c | 159.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 72.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed Over | 57c | 31.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 29.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 45c | 22.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-13.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-14.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 149.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.