Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8183989469674f7ec4f15f41d3bb1b6cb40392c1492a5b9a0a20fe125b1c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 4,016$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.87 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 53c | 1,036$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 551.81$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 53c | 357.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 244.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 49c | 216.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 216$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 52c | 68.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 37.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 47c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed Over | 47c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-13.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-14.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 146.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 147.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 148.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.