CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b2d98d70ed37b63cc22f1247f0542640654b697991148286c3e3a7f298b3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Sangal | 75c | 2,121$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Mousquetaires | 20c | 2,030$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Mousquetaires | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Mousquetaires | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Mousquetaires | 25c | 593.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Sangal | 65c | 535$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Mousquetaires | 23c | 280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Mousquetaires | 25c | 279.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sangal | 76c | 222.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Sangal | 64c | 171.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…a9c8backed Mousquetaires | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Mousquetaires | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Sangal | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Mousquetaires | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sangal | 77c | 39.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sangal | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Sangal | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.