CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3da403c2c49d02b5c4a1135b0c31fe90c09426300205bdb6df5201165fb70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 1,768$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.7 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Benched gods | 58c | 1,609$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.42 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 1,377$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.33 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Benched gods | 52c | 894.34$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…570ebacked Benched gods | 6c | 884.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Benched gods | 56c | 749.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 708.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 56c | 643.91$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 639.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.12 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Benched gods | 48c | 618.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed Benched gods | 72c | 597.91$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Benched gods | 44c | 453.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 452.38$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 417.65$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 369.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Benched gods | 61c | 361.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 356.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.01 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Benched gods | 49c | 356.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 347$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 343.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Benched gods | 44c | 292.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…320bbacked Benched gods | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Black Phoenix | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 256.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Benched gods | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 26c | 218.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix | 65c | 195.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 193.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 192$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 182.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 171.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Benched gods | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 157$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…de04backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 156.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Benched gods | 54c | 146.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benched gods | 18c | 145.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 142.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Benched gods | 49c | 141.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Benched gods | 54c | 136.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 135.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 134.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Benched gods | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Benched gods | 43c | 128.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Benched gods | 46c | 128.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 119.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…e901backed Benched gods | 54c | 113.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Black Phoenix | 78c | 110.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Benched gods | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 97.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Benched gods | 47c | 85.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e6c9backed Benched gods | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Benched gods | 66c | 75.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Benched gods | 51c | 65.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 61.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…41acbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Black Phoenix | 77c | 58.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Benched gods | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 53.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadce…a482backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…99e3backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 42.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 32.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Black Phoenix | 80c | 31.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…d2a3backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 24.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Benched gods | 51c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 1 WinnerBenched gods won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.