CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd6dab14a61ec7c8f59ed4988380ab3b02eb856c12c22107e284cf85fde42b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benched godsof Black Phoenix, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 1,733$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Benched gods | 46c | 1,109$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 1c | 1,010$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Benched gods | 53c | 999.98$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…570ebacked Benched gods | 48c | 831.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed Benched gods | 54c | 654.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 524.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.09 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 481.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 462.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 323.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Benched gods | 61c | 302.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 298.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 41c | 255.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Benched gods | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Benched gods | 69c | 248.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 229.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 228.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Benched gods | 44c | 216$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Benched gods | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 175$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Black Phoenix | 56c | 174.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Benched gods | 60c | 163.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Benched gods | 71c | 159.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Benched gods | 60c | 148.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Black Phoenix | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Benched gods | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Benched gods | 62c | 81.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…de04backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Benched gods | 60c | 75.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Benched gods | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Black Phoenix | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 67.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 63.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Benched gods | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Black Phoenix | 26c | 53.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…1391backed Benched gods | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed Benched gods | 52c | 34.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 33.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Black Phoenix | 52c | 32.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Benched gods | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Benched gods | 79c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Benched gods | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.