CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b930c8cea6a557093c47f09742f1117a2d1da0cc9bf0ae73d5920c364b71264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof 1WIN, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 1WIN | 39c | 11,364$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.81 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly | 39c | 4,792$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed 1WIN | 44c | 2,829$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.05 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Butterfly | 50c | 2,663$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.76 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 1WIN | 52c | 2,202$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.9 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked 1WIN | 64c | 2,019$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.87 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Butterfly | 34c | 1,890$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.7 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed 1WIN | 61c | 1,788$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 27c | 1,576$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1WIN | 68c | 1,460$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…ade7backed 1WIN | 70c | 1,405$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Butterfly | 48c | 1,210$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.24 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly | 40c | 1,151$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.47 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Butterfly | 38c | 1,046$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.39 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 1WIN | 65c | 1,016$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.89 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 1WIN | 37c | 965$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.05 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 52c | 904.84$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Butterfly | 39c | 868.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.74 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked 1WIN | 23c | 858.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Butterfly | 35c | 826.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly | 50c | 782.09$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Butterfly | 38c | 703.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.27 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed 1WIN | 60c | 648$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed 1WIN | 49c | 628.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed 1WIN | 58c | 614.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.33 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed 1WIN | 39c | 600$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed 1WIN | 42c | 541.62$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked 1WIN | 60c | 523$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked 1WIN | 61c | 509$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Butterfly | 39c | 507.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.75 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…302ebacked 1WIN | 59c | 501.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN | 44c | 501.18$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Butterfly | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Butterfly | 44c | 456.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fb36backed 1WIN | 60c | 437.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked 1WIN | 60c | 434$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked 1WIN | 62c | 422.58$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly | 26c | 421.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Butterfly | 21c | 418.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.95 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed 1WIN | 60c | 405$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Butterfly | 47c | 396.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed 1WIN | 15c | 385$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Butterfly | 37c | 383.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Butterfly | 52c | 377.62$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Butterfly | 45c | 369.66$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Butterfly | 50c | 369.08$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Butterfly | 35c | 339.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…9d25backed Butterfly | 47c | 335.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed 1WIN | 49c | 320$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Butterfly | 34c | 317.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked 1WIN | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Butterfly | 40c | 298.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly | 45c | 294.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Butterfly | 55c | 293.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked 1WIN | 64c | 293.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed 1WIN | 58c | 286.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed 1WIN | 65c | 284.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 1WIN | 63c | 282.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Butterfly | 12c | 269.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed 1WIN | 61c | 262.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Butterfly | 68c | 261.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed 1WIN | 50c | 259.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed 1WIN | 60c | 242.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed 1WIN | 15c | 235$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Butterfly | 34c | 234.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed 1WIN | 61c | 200.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Butterfly | 43c | 200.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Butterfly | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed 1WIN | 56c | 179.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked 1WIN | 60c | 179.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Butterfly | 64c | 170.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 55c | 159.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed 1WIN | 40c | 159.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Butterfly | 42c | 157.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Butterfly | 63c | 157.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed 1WIN | 50c | 157.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Butterfly | 59c | 155.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9b…4b71backed 1WIN | 64c | 155.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Butterfly | 65c | 152.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 1WIN | 61c | 152.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed 1WIN | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked 1WIN | 43c | 145.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed 1WIN | 62c | 144.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 1WIN | 65c | 139$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed 1WIN | 49c | 137.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Butterfly | 51c | 133.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN | 55c | 131.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Butterfly | 52c | 130.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Butterfly | 37c | 129$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Butterfly | 36c | 124$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed 1WIN | 20c | 123.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 59c | 122.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Butterfly | 51c | 117.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked 1WIN | 60c | 112.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Butterfly | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Butterfly | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…ee6ebacked Butterfly | 50c | 106.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…cd62backed Butterfly | 36c | 104.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 79c | 102.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Butterfly | 64c | 100.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.