CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7082599a6302f3d067da6837fbc78d425b1ebc92b95ea32d362c6dc29c66b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Young Ninjasof Just Players, ex-Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Just Players | 7c | 5,051$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 72c | 3,565$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.44 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Just Players | 31c | 1,936$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.61 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Just Players | 61c | 1,600$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Young Ninjas | 80c | 1,483$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Just Players | 32c | 1,055$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Just Players | 38c | 999.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.31 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Just Players | 50c | 835.62$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.81 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Young Ninjas | 45c | 779.88$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Just Players | 20c | 749.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Young Ninjas | 44c | 662.49$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked ex-Young Ninjas | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-Young Ninjas | 72c | 410$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 354.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Just Players | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed ex-Young Ninjas | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Young Ninjas | 34c | 181.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Just Players | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Just Players | 24c | 166.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Just Players | 27c | 149.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Just Players | 60c | 122.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 34c | 110.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 43c | 107.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Just Players | 60c | 103.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Just Players | 60c | 76.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Just Players | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Just Players | 44c | 68.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed ex-Young Ninjas | 74c | 68.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 68c | 67.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…9155backed ex-Young Ninjas | 62c | 63.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Just Players | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed ex-Young Ninjas | 71c | 41.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Just Players | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Just Players | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed ex-Young Ninjas | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-Young Ninjas | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Young Ninjas | 76c | 27.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ex-Young Ninjas | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)ex-Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.