CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8ee996d8e94ddc0e07c08aeaf0b93465561526c184b63dc0642097e3a47a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, ex-Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x899c…81b0backed Just Players | 75c | 1,350$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Just Players | 76c | 1,220$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Young Ninjas | 25c | 1,008$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Just Players | 76c | 1,000$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Young Ninjas | 26c | 778.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Young Ninjas | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Young Ninjas | 21c | 517.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-Young Ninjas | 16c | 406$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Just Players | 73c | 272.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Just Players | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Young Ninjas | 10c | 213.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-Young Ninjas | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed ex-Young Ninjas | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Just Players | 71c | 149.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 146.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Just Players | 73c | 138.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 20c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…de04backed ex-Young Ninjas | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-Young Ninjas | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Just Players | 58c | 95.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed ex-Young Ninjas | 15c | 80.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Just Players | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 34c | 64.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 61.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 22c | 57.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Just Players | 65c | 25.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 77c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Just Players | 76c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerex-Young Ninjas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)ex-Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.