CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Noir Verse (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321a8264654ba4269515e5da060295b581b8a590f7d7c2f7c409e6614f5a7234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof ASTRAL, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Noir Verse | 35c | 4,428$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.26 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ASTRAL | 68c | 3,377$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.3 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 2,691$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.06 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Noir Verse | 30c | 2,163$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.38 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Noir Verse | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.09 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed ASTRAL | 44c | 1,319$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked ASTRAL | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Noir Verse | 59c | 980.85$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed ASTRAL | 62c | 803.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed ASTRAL | 65c | 722.58$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noir Verse | 68c | 709.85$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed Noir Verse | 43c | 674.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.63 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed ASTRAL | 75c | 660$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.82 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 631.01$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 23c | 499.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Noir Verse | 78c | 476.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noir Verse | 47c | 424.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Noir Verse | 37c | 422.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 25c | 414.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed ASTRAL | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Noir Verse | 56c | 383.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 350.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ASTRAL | 59c | 350$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 68c | 346.53$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 279.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed ASTRAL | 63c | 230.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Noir Verse | 37c | 230$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ASTRAL | 66c | 228.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Noir Verse | 58c | 223.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Noir Verse | 30c | 215.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ASTRAL | 18c | 213.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Noir Verse | 32c | 187.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ASTRAL | 50c | 185.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Noir Verse | 34c | 184.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed ASTRAL | 62c | 183.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Noir Verse | 32c | 172.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Noir Verse | 33c | 151.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…de04backed Noir Verse | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Noir Verse | 43c | 137.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 134.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ASTRAL | 67c | 131.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noir Verse | 40c | 120.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Noir Verse | 30c | 114$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Noir Verse | 31c | 113.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Noir Verse | 43c | 111.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ASTRAL | 50c | 110.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed ASTRAL | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Noir Verse | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 89.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed ASTRAL | 58c | 85.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noir Verse | 62c | 77.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Noir Verse | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked ASTRAL | 69c | 72.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ASTRAL | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ASTRAL | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Noir Verse | 40c | 57.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ASTRAL | 70c | 56.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed Noir Verse | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28e…2a0bbacked Noir Verse | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Noir Verse | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Noir Verse | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed ASTRAL | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Noir Verse | 30c | 40.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Noir Verse | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed ASTRAL | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Noir Verse | 54c | 39.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ASTRAL | 68c | 37.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Noir Verse | 63c | 36.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed ASTRAL | 41c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Noir Verse | 63c | 33.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Noir Verse | 36c | 30.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ASTRAL | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Noir Verse | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Noir Verse | 64c | 21.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 455 | 38.2%174 W · 281 L | -29.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked ASTRAL | 64c | 21.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed ASTRAL | 64c | 19.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Noir Verse | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed ASTRAL | 67c | 17.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Noir Verse | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ASTRAL | 73c | 16.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ASTRAL | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.