TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No19c18,358$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.271,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No13c9,323$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No17c8,421$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.441,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No30c5,377$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.9210840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes28c4,643$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes61c3,297$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.9822269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes68c2,923$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.496563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes70c2,474$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.1812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No13c1,682$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c1,649$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.1572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,512$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.261,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No27c1,500$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes78c1,436$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.025752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes62c1,429$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7810273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c1,360$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.0870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes79c1,322$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No17c1,149$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.352352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Yes60c847.25$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked No22c829.68$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3293735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No26c677$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0219645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes78c661.49$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.782846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes70c652$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.618967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No28c477.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No30c476.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes65c461.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5415458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No31c442.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0314549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes74c421$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.657074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes65c395.58$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6413952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No42c339.93$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.131,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No27c317.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3922841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No17c311$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8110042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No32c290.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1317137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c276.6$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.873,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No12c265.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.623161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No71c227.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.646346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No18c225$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No26c203.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked No26c196.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes65c182.16$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.096653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No28c178.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes52c176$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4518774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked No26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c161.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb344…31eabacked Yes59c153.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.66875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No19c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c142.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No28c129$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.127344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes76c107$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed No23c105.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes61c105.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No32c104$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4830735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No11c103$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0514657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No35c102.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.893946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No48c100.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No24c98.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked No22c91.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No22c89.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked No14c88.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No22c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c78.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Yes70c70.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed No44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Yes28c66.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c66.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No22c64.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No31c58.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked No26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No20c53.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.945446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes71c53.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3425652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No29c52.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No73c52.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes78c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871675%12 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes70c42.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.913161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.820449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No31c38.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No73c37.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4219642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c33.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked No71c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885326.4%14 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cd6…1b08backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No72c23.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8916456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Yes71c21.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.36988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked No54c20.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed No54c20.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.254045%18 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No71c20.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8113259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.416948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No69c18.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.442965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.