Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fdba40c308f57a157369eb659882d25379cf749ae17b0d7de4fda05a101c37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 65c | 2,504$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.3 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 26c | 1,754$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.94 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 63c | 1,588$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.32 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under | 63c | 1,533$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.38 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 1,144$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…03b3backed Over | 35c | 657.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 37c | 623.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 12c | 603$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 37c | 500.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 332.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 39c | 269$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 63c | 235.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 39c | 200.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Over | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 37c | 199.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 464 | 48.9%227 W · 237 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 14c | 164.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 62c | 160.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Under | 65c | 103.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 400 | 63%252 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…3226backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 13c | 77.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…d827backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Over | 40c | 62.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 60c | 53.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over | 31c | 41.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Over | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 66c | 33.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…e850backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Under | 61c | 29.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 77c | 29.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 65c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 230 | 66.1%152 W · 78 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Under | 61c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Under | 65c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 65c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 363 | 38.8%141 W · 222 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.