CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06005775088b63f5806d672c55981c1d962a8457364acc21eda85fdb00d84d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 2,107$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.39 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 1,206$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.96 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 63c | 959.77$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Over | 39c | 763.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 37c | 680.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 62c | 541.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 381.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed Over | 37c | 379.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 38c | 292.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 43c | 232.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 190.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 146.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 131.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 64c | 124.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 37c | 118.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 104.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…4247backed Over | 39c | 103.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Over | 39c | 71.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 64c | 62.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 45c | 50.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 38c | 40.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 64c | 37.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Under | 62c | 29.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 55c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 61WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.