CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ae0edccc1fc1f0025da0f90658d7f4bdb1b9ebc46b68dc742d34425837b684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 12c | 2,790$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 1,300$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 8c | 1,018$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 749.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 14c | 661.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 616$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 467.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 15c | 372.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 8c | 338.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed BASEMENT BOYS | 15c | 314.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 8c | 230.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed BASEMENT BOYS | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 1WIN | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 129.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 121$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 120.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 87.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…cc17backed 1WIN | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed 1WIN | 68c | 23.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked 1WIN | 69c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 61WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.