CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735c59f6e3b61115d9c273fb40b16959e12dcae1847206e96978a05dd8985ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 51c | 3,977$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.64 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 3,792$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.21 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 2,732$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.62 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 1,985$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.05 | 342 | 39.5%135 W · 207 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 1WIN | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 46c | 925.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.01 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 753.72$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 1WIN | 52c | 744.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 2,048 | 53.8%1,101 W · 947 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN | 52c | 665.36$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…aa04backed 1WIN | 52c | 573.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 401 | 57.4%230 W · 171 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 1WIN | 51c | 343$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 1WIN | 51c | 242.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed 1WIN | 51c | 226.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 237 | 52.3%124 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…4af9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 196.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 155.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 365 | 38.9%142 W · 223 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 133.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 410 | 44.9%184 W · 226 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 22c | 116.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked 1WIN | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 110.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed BASEMENT BOYS | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…9130backed 1WIN | 52c | 108.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed 1WIN | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed 1WIN | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 63.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1,177 | 48.2%567 W · 610 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked 1WIN | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed 1WIN | 58c | 57.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 1WIN | 77c | 54.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed 1WIN | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 699 | 49.8%348 W · 351 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed 1WIN | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…1ff4backed 1WIN | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 37.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,683 | 47%791 W · 892 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed 1WIN | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed 1WIN | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked 1WIN | 52c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 408 | 40.4%165 W · 243 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked 1WIN | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 61WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.