CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e289d60813587175e749666deb2d91f18b81fb98376cbf0587d393ed2bce87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 1,821$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked 1WIN | 80c | 1,155$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 67c | 1,115$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.91 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 751.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked 1WIN | 75c | 625.19$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 567.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BASEMENT BOYS | 4c | 534$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BASEMENT BOYS | 25c | 497.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 496.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 9c | 479.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 67c | 468.9$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 15c | 466.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 27c | 451.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 21c | 424.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 410.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 26c | 376.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 1WIN | 74c | 333.89$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 331$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 22c | 281.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked 1WIN | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 259$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 251.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed 1WIN | 75c | 240.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 218.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked 1WIN | 75c | 205$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed BASEMENT BOYS | 11c | 193.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 178.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 11c | 175.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN | 77c | 166.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed BASEMENT BOYS | 21c | 165.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed BASEMENT BOYS | 8c | 154$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 146.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed 1WIN | 74c | 135.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed 1WIN | 74c | 109.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…2b72backed 1WIN | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 1WIN | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed 1WIN | 75c | 79.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked 1WIN | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 69.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed 1WIN | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 59.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 52.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 77c | 50.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed 1WIN | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 47.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed 1WIN | 60c | 47.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 76c | 44.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 1WIN | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked 1WIN | 72c | 35.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed 1WIN | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked 1WIN | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed 1WIN | 74c | 32.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 1WIN | 77c | 30.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed 1WIN | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked 1WIN | 78c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed 1WIN | 75c | 25.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed 1WIN | 74c | 24.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed 1WIN | 75c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked 1WIN | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 1WIN | 77c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed 1WIN | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked 1WIN | 72c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 61WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.