Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915f404ea48a7d84a6f57fc45a6cc8a39bfd2b3cd8cb97dbe5ad731eb95e8767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,105$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 880.48$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 2c | 808.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 3c | 773.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 73c | 638.84$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 74c | 477.2$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 285.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 27c | 230.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…ecbebacked No | 26c | 218.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 23c | 214.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 73c | 209.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 41c | 160.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 141$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 26c | 140.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 74c | 129.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 13c | 118.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 67c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 66c | 97.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Yes | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 27c | 59.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 27c | 54.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 74c | 52.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 35c | 50.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 24c | 44.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 76c | 31.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 35c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 40c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.