Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de387546afe4059bde6ba606eb7f3faaf1e185ed0d154f9cfc1c35b4432d594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 31c | 3,808$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.55 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 69c | 2,102$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.61 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,905$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 1,875$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.5 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 1,339$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 777.87$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 32c | 572.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 68c | 536.45$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 478.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 69c | 473.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 409.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 32c | 370.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 207$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 33c | 165.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 38c | 155.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 32c | 147.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 31c | 142.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 68c | 139.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 33c | 118.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 32c | 104.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 73c | 96.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 73c | 91.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 67c | 91.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 34c | 84.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 68c | 73.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 33c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 32c | 54.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 45.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…c283backed Yes | 59c | 44.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 69c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…9481backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 29.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 68c | 23.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 68c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 68c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 16.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 69c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will SK Brann vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.