CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8525d98d4f6f385a5b284422c8d24411abcac3efd19d5d7da60f4b73c15cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2614…4442backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 1,312$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.03 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX | 70c | 953.36$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 483.76$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed 3DMAX | 31c | 327.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 320$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 30c | 297.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 261.92$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 226.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 190.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 179.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed 3DMAX | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 118.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Gentle Mates | 69c | 114$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Gentle Mates | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 3DMAX | 69c | 73.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.