Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa242b797dcd680cf57cfc11eb7a4dafcbd74c6538f7d1a1672039b9387a605f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NS Teamof NS Team, VooDooSh Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked NS Team | 58c | 2,585$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.58 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed VooDooSh Team | 40c | 978.9$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.98 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed VooDooSh Team | 45c | 570.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed VooDooSh Team | 42c | 457$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked VooDooSh Team | 78c | 421.92$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NS Team | 36c | 337.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed VooDooSh Team | 52c | 328.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed VooDooSh Team | 37c | 310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VooDooSh Team | 35c | 305.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a0edbacked NS Team | 75c | 304$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VooDooSh Team | 39c | 188.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed VooDooSh Team | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked VooDooSh Team | 26c | 96.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed VooDooSh Team | 35c | 87.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NS Team | 27c | 76.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed VooDooSh Team | 36c | 74.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…02eabacked VooDooSh Team | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed VooDooSh Team | 34c | 50.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed VooDooSh Team | 45c | 41.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed VooDooSh Team | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed NS Team | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked VooDooSh Team | 35c | 28.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked NS Team | 38c | 28.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed VooDooSh Team | 41c | 26.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsNS Team won
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 1 WinnerVooDooSh Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.