Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a7eaf0e53ab01efdbc3d8210f477ac4fe54c20ff83115af7936b8f7585af40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NS Teamof NS Team, VooDooSh Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked VooDooSh Team | 50c | 1,370$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.01 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed VooDooSh Team | 41c | 1,299$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.79 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed NS Team | 30c | 1,089$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.67 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed NS Team | 45c | 1,001$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked VooDooSh Team | 55c | 943.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.88 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed VooDooSh Team | 66c | 607.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked NS Team | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NS Team | 48c | 293.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed VooDooSh Team | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NS Team | 56c | 200.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed NS Team | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed NS Team | 43c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed NS Team | 71c | 148.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked NS Team | 63c | 103.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed NS Team | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked VooDooSh Team | 57c | 86.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked NS Team | 46c | 74.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…bed7backed NS Team | 68c | 73.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked VooDooSh Team | 38c | 71.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed VooDooSh Team | 18c | 61.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked NS Team | 30c | 50.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed NS Team | 28c | 49.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed VooDooSh Team | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NS Team | 38c | 41.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed NS Team | 61c | 37.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NS Team | 66c | 36.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20bfbacked NS Team | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed NS Team | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NS Team | 74c | 32.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…cca8backed NS Team | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked VooDooSh Team | 36c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…fd90backed NS Team | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 1 WinnerVooDooSh Team won
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 2 WinnerNS Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.