Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5eaf9acc77ef783c57a63b1b4cb984edf9bee1b24abd45eae2a8950cc8a673b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VooDooSh Teamof NS Team, VooDooSh Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed NS Team | 11c | 6,000$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.05 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed NS Team | 60c | 1,142$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.3 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked VooDooSh Team | 45c | 1,094$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.81 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NS Team | 40c | 895.55$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed VooDooSh Team | 75c | 296$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VooDooSh Team | 75c | 284.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…4b51backed VooDooSh Team | 62c | 262.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…4826backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed VooDooSh Team | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 103.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed VooDooSh Team | 57c | 82.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NS Team | 49c | 64.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed NS Team | 63c | 60.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked VooDooSh Team | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed VooDooSh Team | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked VooDooSh Team | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NS Team | 42c | 32.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked VooDooSh Team | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsNS Team won
- Dota 2: NS Team vs VooDooSh Team - Game 2 WinnerNS Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.