TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof Evil Geniuses, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed FURIA Esports51c30,278$15,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,400.824145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Evil Geniuses49c24,000$11,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1207164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Evil Geniuses48c10,458$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,438.146643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Evil Geniuses71c2,538$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.6613355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports49c2,053$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses52c2,047$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.121,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Evil Geniuses49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked FURIA Esports50c1,412$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.7517642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Evil Geniuses73c1,326$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA Esports49c1,306$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.937953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Evil Geniuses74c1,275$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed FURIA Esports28c1,167$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7613743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses71c1,145$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Evil Geniuses51c1,139$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5735142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed FURIA Esports48c1,076$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.693956.4%22 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports50c980.13$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked FURIA Esports51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4599151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Evil Geniuses77c773.66$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed FURIA Esports29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses51c645$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports52c632.54$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports23c616.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses78c555.75$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports5c546.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports17c522.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.981,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x235d…450bbacked FURIA Esports51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Evil Geniuses74c487.5$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b50…ff18backed FURIA Esports20c481.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Evil Geniuses52c405.81$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Evil Geniuses50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20221457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Evil Geniuses52c318.6$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9333346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Evil Geniuses49c303.47$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.775464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Evil Geniuses54c287.13$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0211445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked FURIA Esports20c276.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed FURIA Esports23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.53036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses52c241$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.681,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Evil Geniuses52c236.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3827956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Evil Geniuses50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009455.3%52 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked FURIA Esports52c197.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…8ee6backed FURIA Esports24c195.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FURIA Esports49c180.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6921055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports25c178.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.491,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Evil Geniuses52c168.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2911738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Evil Geniuses53c162.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.266456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed FURIA Esports21c151.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1719439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b9…7c77backed FURIA Esports32c141.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed FURIA Esports25c136$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed FURIA Esports49c119.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked FURIA Esports51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Evil Geniuses69c113$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.238848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…30debacked FURIA Esports16c111.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed Evil Geniuses51c103.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Evil Geniuses49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed Evil Geniuses50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FURIA Esports16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed FURIA Esports24c99.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked FURIA Esports49c99.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed FURIA Esports27c99.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.723834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed FURIA Esports51c98.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Evil Geniuses71c81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked Evil Geniuses64c78.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.437768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62f…2958backed Evil Geniuses53c78.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.774961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed FURIA Esports20c71.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Evil Geniuses71c70.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed FURIA Esports25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Evil Geniuses71c63.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.414658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed FURIA Esports41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked FURIA Esports51c59.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed FURIA Esports48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4738950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed FURIA Esports26c47.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.272339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed FURIA Esports26c47.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.274257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc126…4079backed FURIA Esports50c46.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Evil Geniuses52c42.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.226654.5%36 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Evil Geniuses49c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Evil Geniuses51c41.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses53c37.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6539646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d47…0592backed FURIA Esports50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked FURIA Esports51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed FURIA Esports43c24.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.566454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…9626backed Evil Geniuses66c23.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Evil Geniuses52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0843843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811f…16e3backed Evil Geniuses72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed FURIA Esports50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.