Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d5c814f3596acc878824f6896a3a92d180d2eb543a9b7d27a8583f4de40fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Iron Wing, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $898,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 51c | 105,024$53,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,133.38 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 31,493$15,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,616.12 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 45c | 28,360$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,730.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 45c | 26,726$12,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,154.05 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 24,700$11,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,716.97 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 64c | 23,006$14,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,336.17 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Iron Wing | 50c | 18,831$9,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,407.17 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 15,557$7,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,778.56 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing | 50c | 15,001$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing | 10c | 14,600$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.9 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Iron Wing | 43c | 10,766$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.37 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Iron Wing | 48c | 10,001$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.67 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Iron Wing | 49c | 9,325$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Iron Wing | 11c | 9,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 8,713$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.61 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 8,619$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.89 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 50c | 7,714$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 7,000$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 49c | 6,917$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.17 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 79c | 6,876$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.99 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 6,677$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 6,457$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.55 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,234$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.03 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Iron Wing | 25c | 6,004$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.79 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing | 37c | 5,749$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.17 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 5,288$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.02 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Iron Wing | 58c | 5,132$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 48c | 5,102$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.91 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 50c | 5,010$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.55 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 80c | 5,000$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.56 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 4,936$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 4,820$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Iron Wing | 30c | 4,798$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.66 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Iron Wing | 13c | 4,692$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.43 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Iron Wing | 38c | 4,550$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.94 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Iron Wing | 15c | 4,544$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 4,539$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.74 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 52c | 4,501$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Liquid | 74c | 4,210$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.27 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,014$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.41 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Liquid | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…50b8backed Team Liquid | 31c | 3,871$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,741$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.58 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 3,736$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.61 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Iron Wing | 1c | 3,693$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…f531backed Iron Wing | 28c | 3,623$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…a37dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,500$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.85 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,437$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Iron Wing | 2c | 3,421$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 3,374$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.87 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 3,316$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.01 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Liquid | 63c | 3,008$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.61 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.5 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 2,946$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.55 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,897$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.58 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,720$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.29 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Iron Wing | 48c | 2,717$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.18 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,628$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.58 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,535$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.33 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,519$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.55 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Iron Wing | 18c | 2,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…6243backed Team Liquid | 69c | 2,500$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,473$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iron Wing | 52c | 2,400$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.72 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,393$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.98 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 2,310$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.68 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Iron Wing | 30c | 2,298$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Iron Wing | 36c | 2,249$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,100$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,012$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.11 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Iron Wing | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…f82dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,000$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.34 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Iron Wing | 43c | 2,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,000$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,981$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.29 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,981$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.67 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Iron Wing | 28c | 1,967$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.97 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…cfcdbacked Iron Wing | 50c | 1,839$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,776$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.52 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,643$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.22 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Iron Wing | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,513$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.92 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Iron Wing | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,489$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.87 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Iron Wing | 29c | 1,434$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.36 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Team Liquid | 73c | 1,384$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.47 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,378$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.81 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…df2bbacked Iron Wing | 37c | 1,340$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- First Blood in Game 2?Iron Wing won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.