Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cordenons: Nuria Brancaccio vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9557564b387b87d3b99dc1eae4fa919d853b5ac39b8676b29293fae3d3912b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Risticof Nuria Brancaccio, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 51c | 864$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.94 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 18c | 461.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mia Ristic | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mia Ristic | 47c | 257.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mia Ristic | 71c | 250.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mia Ristic | 57c | 234.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Nuria Brancaccio | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mia Ristic | 48c | 223.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 104.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 26c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Mia Ristic | 73c | 57.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuria Brancaccio | 29c | 49.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nuria Brancaccio | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Mia Ristic | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mia Ristic | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Nuria Brancaccio | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mia Ristic | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mia Ristic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mia Ristic | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mia Ristic | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.