Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0497cd2be404c720424b25d58e5a6479230a37b0ccc878cfe41b0ea7daff740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sherifof Sherif, Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Badosa | 59c | 3,256$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sherif | 40c | 3,140$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.54 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Badosa | 22c | 772.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Sherif | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sherif | 40c | 638.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Badosa | 60c | 637.46$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Sherif | 70c | 576.62$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Sherif | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Badosa | 57c | 444.81$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sherif | 40c | 362.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Sherif | 42c | 262.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.02 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Badosa | 58c | 249.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Sherif | 43c | 230.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Badosa | 59c | 208.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Sherif | 55c | 168.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Sherif | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sherif | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Sherif | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Sherif | 43c | 128.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sherif | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Badosa | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Sherif | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sherif | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Badosa | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Sherif | 40c | 47.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Sherif | 40c | 47.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Sherif | 40c | 47.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Sherif | 40c | 47.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sherif | 74c | 47.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Badosa | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Sherif | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Sherif | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Sherif | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Badosa | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Badosa | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Badosa | 53c | 27.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sherif | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs Badosathis page
- Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaMayar Sherif won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.