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Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Lourdes Carleof Jessica Pieri, Maria Lourdes Carle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Pieri17c12,055$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.229,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle72c9,817$7,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.224,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle67c2,740$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.8711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Jessica Pieri69c2,359$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.9631056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jessica Pieri35c2,283$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9294140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Jessica Pieri1c2,017$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8217423.6%41 W · 133 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle41c2,014$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.996,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Jessica Pieri56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9914162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Maria Lourdes Carle74c1,910$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.663063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Jessica Pieri43c1,613$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Lourdes Carle64c1,426$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.924,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Jessica Pieri16c1,387$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.043,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Jessica Pieri41c1,278$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8863556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jessica Pieri10c1,044$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.054,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Maria Lourdes Carle51c958.78$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3917933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maria Lourdes Carle75c892.19$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.785,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0721046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle42c498.65$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0588157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Maria Lourdes Carle49c457.59$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3711338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Maria Lourdes Carle53c402.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.242930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jessica Pieri29c397.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.518,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Maria Lourdes Carle51c390.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9610437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jessica Pieri39c366.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.113,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Maria Lourdes Carle71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1135360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Jessica Pieri6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Maria Lourdes Carle79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jessica Pieri17c291.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Maria Lourdes Carle51c284.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3128437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Jessica Pieri38c280$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.464365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle42c263.95$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.094,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jessica Pieri31c239.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.192,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Maria Lourdes Carle65c230.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7620360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Jessica Pieri17c218.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.139649%47 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jessica Pieri58c208.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.542,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Jessica Pieri24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025661.3%157 W · 99 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Maria Lourdes Carle72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jessica Pieri20c182.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.096,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Jessica Pieri34c180.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.291,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Maria Lourdes Carle41c163.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4115456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8946…37ccbacked Jessica Pieri71c153.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.76666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Maria Lourdes Carle61c140.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.651,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Maria Lourdes Carle45c133.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Maria Lourdes Carle76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5885057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jessica Pieri51c131.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.265,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jessica Pieri45c128.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.412,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Jessica Pieri58c123.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1519651.5%101 W · 95 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb515…7e2bbacked Jessica Pieri40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32568%17 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jessica Pieri57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Maria Lourdes Carle60c105.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.882,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Maria Lourdes Carle57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4337354.2%202 W · 171 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Jessica Pieri51c92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9235060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Jessica Pieri32c84.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.916530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Maria Lourdes Carle66c75.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9122361.4%137 W · 86 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Jessica Pieri37c69.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Maria Lourdes Carle51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle51c64.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4664147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Jessica Pieri19c64.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Maria Lourdes Carle76c62.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8614250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e2…09e7backed Maria Lourdes Carle60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Maria Lourdes Carle78c57.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7d…5637backed Maria Lourdes Carle61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b9…0069backed Maria Lourdes Carle61c54.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f55…9090backed Maria Lourdes Carle66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Maria Lourdes Carle34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.998544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Lourdes Carle59c48.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jessica Pieri32c48.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle80c47.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5523581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Maria Lourdes Carle68c47.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1812851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fe…b131backed Maria Lourdes Carle44c44.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9113554.1%73 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Jessica Pieri24c41.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071621.1%151 W · 565 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Maria Lourdes Carle48c41.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3826158.2%152 W · 109 L+1.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…4c3abacked Jessica Pieri55c37.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7914875.7%112 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Maria Lourdes Carle73c36.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9447465.2%309 W · 165 L+28.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Lourdes Carle65c35.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.511,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…ef6ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle70c33.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda5…c0c5backed Maria Lourdes Carle71c33.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Jessica Pieri55c31.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5550268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jessica Pieri57c30.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.371,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda84…1bccbacked Maria Lourdes Carle76c30.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf040…1033backed Maria Lourdes Carle79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…29fabacked Maria Lourdes Carle76c30.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Maria Lourdes Carle65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Maria Lourdes Carle63c28.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Maria Lourdes Carle45c25.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0147851.5%246 W · 232 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle50c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.625447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Jessica Pieri44c23.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Maria Lourdes Carle69c22.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Jessica Pieri64c22.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2637065.1%241 W · 129 L-1.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle67c22.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.459050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Jessica Pieri56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Maria Lourdes Carle50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021451.9%111 W · 103 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Maria Lourdes Carle57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.652157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e0…b68abacked Maria Lourdes Carle78c17.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.947758.4%45 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Maria Lourdes Carle70c16.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9626151.7%135 W · 126 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.