TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gustavo Heideof Cezar Cretu, Gustavo Heide
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu57c25,069$14,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,400.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Heide43c9,831$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.7311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Gustavo Heide42c7,848$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,527.991,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Gustavo Heide54c6,001$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.214,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cezar Cretu38c5,917$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.214,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Cezar Cretu58c5,826$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.834,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gustavo Heide41c5,572$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.264,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gustavo Heide51c5,525$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.028,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gustavo Heide29c4,142$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Gustavo Heide62c3,576$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.814431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cezar Cretu58c3,069$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Cezar Cretu52c2,201$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.163,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Cezar Cretu43c1,585$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.764639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Gustavo Heide44c1,382$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.0525158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Cezar Cretu57c1,000$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.8347956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cezar Cretu40c999.6$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.339,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Cezar Cretu57c976.43$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9812863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Gustavo Heide37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.811,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Gustavo Heide25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Cezar Cretu46c756.57$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980f…6416backed Gustavo Heide72c745.33$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.693050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Gustavo Heide36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4487337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gustavo Heide41c647.87$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.052,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gustavo Heide43c528.8$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.81,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Cezar Cretu51c515.09$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.851,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Gustavo Heide24c504.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3415541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Gustavo Heide42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Gustavo Heide63c495.68$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4853657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Gustavo Heide41c472.89$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.681,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…7475backed Cezar Cretu38c467.79$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.716747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Gustavo Heide39c451.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2815456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Gustavo Heide34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1842930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Gustavo Heide16c440.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.914751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Gustavo Heide65c439.98$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2435360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Cezar Cretu40c436.54$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7331443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Gustavo Heide39c430.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.821,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cezar Cretu35c387.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.794,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Gustavo Heide54c384.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.21,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Gustavo Heide28c341.18$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.183,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Gustavo Heide59c338$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.841,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gustavo Heide64c328.89$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.171,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Cezar Cretu60c302.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.082,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Gustavo Heide34c297.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6188935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gustavo Heide58c292.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.864,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Gustavo Heide56c286.52$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0744349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked Gustavo Heide36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7813056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Gustavo Heide25c266.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.443,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Cezar Cretu57c263.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Gustavo Heide27c254.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8287741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cezar Cretu44c247.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.944,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Gustavo Heide28c243.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.61,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Gustavo Heide43c238.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2714153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Gustavo Heide47c234.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7773648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Gustavo Heide26c230$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.168430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gustavo Heide73c215.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.13,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Gustavo Heide56c212.95$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.725948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Gustavo Heide47c211.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.358452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Gustavo Heide52c202.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.872,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Gustavo Heide23c200$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Gustavo Heide42c194.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Gustavo Heide27c186.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.452,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Gustavo Heide59c184.37$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0419253.1%102 W · 90 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Gustavo Heide23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cezar Cretu55c158.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.155,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Gustavo Heide35c152.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1928348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Cezar Cretu78c149.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.691758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gustavo Heide61c145.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.53,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Cezar Cretu66c143.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.511,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Cezar Cretu27c142.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Cezar Cretu53c141.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7510742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cezar Cretu56c140.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.191,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…a06bbacked Gustavo Heide52c133.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Cezar Cretu55c125.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3818537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Cezar Cretu60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7543334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Gustavo Heide35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.27751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Gustavo Heide57c118$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.555058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Cezar Cretu54c116$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Gustavo Heide43c111.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.922,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cezar Cretu56c111.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.991,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdf…30c1backed Gustavo Heide39c107$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu45c104.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.875,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Cezar Cretu68c101.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9516943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cezar Cretu73c100.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.382,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Cezar Cretu71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Gustavo Heide50c98.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5258931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Cezar Cretu73c95.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Cezar Cretu59c92.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0860452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Cezar Cretu57c91.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Gustavo Heide44c89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8451445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Cezar Cretu62c87.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2547274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Gustavo Heide36c81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8427753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Gustavo Heide42c79.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3614644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Cezar Cretu73c78.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9643062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Cezar Cretu27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gustavo Heide33c71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.432,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Gustavo Heide72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4467852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Gustavo Heide30c66.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.531855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdf…2889backed Gustavo Heide37c66.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Gustavo Heide42c65.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide45c63.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.076,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.