Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Alana Subasic vs Belle Thompson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08a921d4fef535e4338033ff23fbd93112ebdd5c8082a4bba87724a3a01983f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belle Thompsonof Alana Subasic, Belle Thompson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Alana Subasic | 66c | 22,292$14,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,702.01 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belle Thompson | 32c | 13,060$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Alana Subasic | 2c | 5,001$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Belle Thompson | 21c | 3,965$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.64 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alana Subasic | 57c | 3,965$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belle Thompson | 55c | 2,475$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Belle Thompson | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Belle Thompson | 55c | 1,645$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Belle Thompson | 27c | 1,092$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.95 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belle Thompson | 14c | 741.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Alana Subasic | 68c | 535$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.8 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Belle Thompson | 44c | 484.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Belle Thompson | 37c | 459.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Belle Thompson | 42c | 447.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Alana Subasic | 56c | 446.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Alana Subasic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Belle Thompson | 27c | 309.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Belle Thompson | 64c | 284$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Belle Thompson | 23c | 274.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Belle Thompson | 55c | 233.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Belle Thompson | 39c | 185.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…2636backed Alana Subasic | 71c | 131.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 64cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Belle Thompson | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Belle Thompson | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Belle Thompson | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Belle Thompson | 46c | 78.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Alana Subasic | 80c | 75.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Subasic | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…0689backed Alana Subasic | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Belle Thompson | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed Alana Subasic | 64c | 64.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Belle Thompson | 55c | 54.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Alana Subasic | 54c | 44.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Belle Thompson | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Belle Thompson | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Belle Thompson | 55c | 29.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Belle Thompson | 55c | 26.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Belle Thompson | 55c | 26.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alana Subasic | 71c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Alana Subasic | 69c | 16.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Alana Subasic | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 75.4%52 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alana Subasic | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.