MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d36f6a1f03788acfc69819df64f931b96fde58c61f22282c51acfc8ffd0e79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $746,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $970,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Houston Astros | 55c | 116,370$64,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,366.5 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Athletics | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 65,191$35,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,987.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 60,000$32,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,600 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 37c | 43,129$16,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,099.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 19c | 42,164$7,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 76c | 37,439$28,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,064.39 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Athletics | 45c | 34,663$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,744.84 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 32,635$17,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,338.43 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 45c | 22,874$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,369.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 46c | 15,383$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,076.24 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 45c | 13,305$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.17 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 40c | 10,055$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 46c | 9,000$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 46c | 7,957$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.7 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 45c | 7,207$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…7385backed Athletics | 0c | 6,102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 48c | 6,000$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…0cc9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 4,316$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Athletics | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.97 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84af…2ebabacked Athletics | 0c | 3,778$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Athletics | 2c | 3,651$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 6c | 3,579$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 2,834$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Athletics | 7c | 2,733$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 45c | 2,535$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,425$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,265$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.42 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 47c | 2,015$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.95 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 45c | 1,863$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 36c | 1,810$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 5c | 1,795$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 6c | 1,738$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.87 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,382$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.52 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Athletics | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Athletics | 3c | 1,152$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 45c | 1,111$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.81 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 47c | 1,040$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 46c | 999.96$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 5c | 914.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Houston Astros | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 24c | 857.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 47c | 831.9$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 48c | 810$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 46c | 804.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Athletics | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 14c | 777$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 47c | 764.82$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 73c | 751.56$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Athletics | 47c | 734$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics | 5c | 720$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 22c | 714.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Athletics | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 47c | 560$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Athletics | 46c | 559$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Athletics | 17c | 545.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Athletics | 7c | 529.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 46c | 526.96$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics | 36c | 522.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 47c | 520.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Athletics | 46c | 514.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 47c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Athletics | 47c | 480$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Athletics | 46c | 451$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Athletics | 45c | 450.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 46c | 449.41$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 47c | 440$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Athletics | 7c | 431.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Houston Astros | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Athletics | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 68c | 387.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 73c | 352$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 47c | 337$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Houston Astros | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Athletics | 6c | 315.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Athletics | 27c | 310.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Athletics | 46c | 299.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Athletics | 7c | 294.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 6c | 258.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 258.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 16c | 255$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Athletics | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Athletics | 24c | 247.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…da9dbacked Athletics | 6c | 246.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 8c | 240.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.