Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2f63a73d2efec3e0b09d5dfe2eabde035a663515f9a0382311d4224dae16e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida International Golden Panthersof Florida International Golden Panthers, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 49c | 38,105$18,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,395.76 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 19,121$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.45 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 11,351$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 4,078$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.3 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 69c | 3,675$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.34 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 3,302$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.82 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 3,018$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.29 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 2,776$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 1,983$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 5c | 1,478$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 1,288$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 1,239$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 34c | 1,185$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 39c | 941.58$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.78 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 61c | 677.64$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.67 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 628.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 627.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 578.91$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 546.82$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 48c | 529.76$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 62c | 517.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 4c | 499.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 49c | 425.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 375$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 347.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 301$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 35c | 283.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 76c | 274.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 26c | 234.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 215.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 185.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 185.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 185.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 183.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d11ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 180.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 178.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 54c | 146.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…da58backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 145.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 43c | 145.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 141.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 53c | 121.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 78.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 63.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 56.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 42c | 49.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 45.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 34.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 30.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 60c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…ffe3backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…1d94backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…126abacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.