TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida State Seminoles vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida State Seminolesof Florida State Seminoles, Pittsburgh Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,983 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida State Seminoles55c6,318$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.8635151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Pittsburgh Panthers19c5,288$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.6543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c3,650$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers46c3,110$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.052,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8542…4fc5backed Florida State Seminoles54c2,832$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Panthers29c1,896$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.441,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c1,618$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.481,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Florida State Seminoles56c1,332$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.279244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Panthers35c1,276$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles79c1,255$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Florida State Seminoles72c1,133$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.772,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Florida State Seminoles55c1,117$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Pittsburgh Panthers30c829.87$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.174551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers41c613.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles78c556.11$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Pittsburgh Panthers10c515.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.035326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c3…3f7fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers4c409.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers46c366.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5279448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c353.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c351.73$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.372,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles74c350.19$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers13c343.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c341.71$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.774548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Pittsburgh Panthers39c292.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers10c287.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.754,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles78c256.81$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.253,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Florida State Seminoles57c256.71$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3836535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Florida State Seminoles58c256.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6945351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Florida State Seminoles54c242.08$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1330853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Florida State Seminoles55c199.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6249157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Panthers48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.591,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida State Seminoles67c156.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers45c154.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pittsburgh Panthers46c149.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Panthers45c147.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1825837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed Florida State Seminoles75c132.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.115253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Florida State Seminoles56c130.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.239554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c126.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.484151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pittsburgh Panthers16c113.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.568051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Florida State Seminoles57c102.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1312153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c99.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.753148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Florida State Seminoles53c99.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5914546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ff…c4ccbacked Florida State Seminoles63c90.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.563228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Florida State Seminoles57c86.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Pittsburgh Panthers44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Florida State Seminoles58c85.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Panthers13c85.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2319522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Florida State Seminoles61c81.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.74843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Pittsburgh Panthers19c80.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.925650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc6…fc33backed Florida State Seminoles54c73.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Pittsburgh Panthers45c69.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3216255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers42c60.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c96…340fbacked Florida State Seminoles53c55.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Florida State Seminoles56c53.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.373151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Florida State Seminoles56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Pittsburgh Panthers24c49.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…3807backed Florida State Seminoles57c43.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Pittsburgh Panthers47c42.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Pittsburgh Panthers43c40.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Panthers37c38.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Florida State Seminoles52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…0093backed Florida State Seminoles58c34.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Florida State Seminoles54c33.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Florida State Seminoles56c33.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5722950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Florida State Seminoles79c31.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.457057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Florida State Seminoles54c30.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8515066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Pittsburgh Panthers42c30.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.687031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Florida State Seminoles53c29.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.026253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Florida State Seminoles72c28.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.189448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Florida State Seminoles52c28.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7349849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Florida State Seminoles55c26.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0917945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10b…2f6dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers48c24.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Florida State Seminoles52c22.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.988952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked Florida State Seminoles54c20.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.299851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Florida State Seminoles71c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff37…1d94backed Florida State Seminoles70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.