TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Irvine Anteaters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Davis Aggies, UC Irvine Anteaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters56c5,880$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UC Irvine Anteaters52c4,893$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.642,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UC Davis Aggies33c3,913$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UC Davis Aggies57c3,367$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.652,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked UC Irvine Anteaters44c2,814$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.0234343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed UC Davis Aggies20c2,267$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.729845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UC Davis Aggies53c2,003$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.185,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies52c1,514$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.723,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UC Davis Aggies21c1,008$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.71,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies53c971.77$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked UC Davis Aggies21c812.2$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.561,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters79c649$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.332,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UC Irvine Anteaters41c564.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5326945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Davis Aggies32c513.52$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.911,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters79c453.47$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed UC Davis Aggies50c436.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5618548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters56c435.16$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.191,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters65c423$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.059051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UC Davis Aggies21c398.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.761,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies67c348.23$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.781,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed UC Irvine Anteaters28c325.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3512540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c318.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8664647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed UC Davis Aggies58c243.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2116255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Irvine Anteaters52c227.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.684,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed UC Irvine Anteaters36c223.26$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6524737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c220.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.261,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed UC Irvine Anteaters80c208.82$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.761,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked UC Davis Aggies40c206.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies74c185.74$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked UC Irvine Anteaters51c183.48$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UC Davis Aggies19c147.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UC Davis Aggies29c144.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.031,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UC Davis Aggies40c135.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UC Irvine Anteaters79c128.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4933445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed UC Irvine Anteaters39c112.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8424951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UC Irvine Anteaters56c106.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0214450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked UC Davis Aggies45c94.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Davis Aggies47c83.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies63c81.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.62,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed UC Davis Aggies22c79.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed UC Davis Aggies44c74.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6435852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters53c72.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UC Irvine Anteaters79c63.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters57c55.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.796160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UC Davis Aggies64c49.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed UC Irvine Anteaters58c48.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked UC Irvine Anteaters40c45.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.065650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed UC Irvine Anteaters48c41.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7211654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a35backed UC Irvine Anteaters42c34.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.855322.6%12 W · 41 L-8.2wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc72e…656dbacked UC Davis Aggies64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked UC Davis Aggies56c29.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UC Irvine Anteaters79c28.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UC Davis Aggies75c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2184854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed UC Davis Aggies55c26.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed UC Irvine Anteaters47c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…7427backed UC Irvine Anteaters41c24.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters68c24.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked UC Irvine Anteaters74c22.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7114049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e9bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed UC Davis Aggies59c18.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935446.3%25 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed UC Irvine Anteaters76c17.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3415066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff37…1d94backed UC Irvine Anteaters79c13.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.782755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.