Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9ca8897d78148cf6cb7cbb10099b105d696837e74d59dd107d77e926d832ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 1,734$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.28 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 1,707$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.65 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,521$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 862.42$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 460.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 347.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 52c | 207.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 48c | 190.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 80.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 35.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 28.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 25.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…ee3dbacked Under | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 58c | 17.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Over | 71c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 74c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 140.5this page
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-4.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-5.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT HighlandersUMBC Retrievers won
- UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.