TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,687 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c19,367$9,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,638.954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c17,743$8,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,694.0648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba93…2740backed Under51c16,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,840875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,066$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,040.91,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde0…0ca4backed Over49c7,340$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c7,010$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.3138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c6,127$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c4,472$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.252,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c4,328$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,084$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c3,834$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.3222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c3,204$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5381,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over56c2,800$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c2,304$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.532,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c2,131$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c2,112$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.7864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,916$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,324$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,252$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under54c1,129$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.151,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,095$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under49c1,015$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.224050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c1,009$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under57c1,009$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.7711159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c881.54$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c760.63$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over18c713.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9911942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over45c555.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c311.74$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.221,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under56c287.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over50c261.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5719045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over44c259.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c235.53$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c187.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.941,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over57c151.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.841656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c142.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a6…2817backed Under38c130.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c105.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over48c101.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over49c94.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0721854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Over47c87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.898251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c85.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c76.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under52c73.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.417960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c66.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c64.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over44c63.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c63.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.451,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over48c61.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over66c60.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed Over50c42.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.253339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.346447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Over47c30.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.225054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c28.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c24.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over49c24.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under53c22.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over50c21.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7612349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4356454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed Over50c21.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2834…3f83backed Under56c20.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over50c20.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.