TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No61c1,576$960 inLost-$959.541,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes47c1,125$527 inWon+$597.8936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Yes59c984.99$584 inWon+$40111957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No41c698.56$286 inLost-$285.8160267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No51c595$302 inLost-$302.2511942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes58c498.06$291 inWon+$207.2576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c482.83$266 inLost-$266.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed No40c424.58$171 inLost-$171.063240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes27c373.1$100 inWon+$273.13925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No69c319.99$221 inLost-$220.796361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6138…eac5backed Yes32c317.45$100 inWon+$217.452133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca2…2e38backed Yes43c201.38$87 inWon+$114.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b1…aeeabacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon+$111.292259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c121.9$74 inLost-$73.5492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c107.75$67 inLost-$66.9783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed No73c100$73 inLost-$73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…6136backed Yes27c97.27$26 inWon+$71.27520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Yes39c76.12$30 inWon+$46.121233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No73c68.47$50 inLost-$49.9897049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked No41c60.95$25 inLost-$24.9928536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No73c55.99$41 inLost-$40.8795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked Yes27c53.5$14 inWon+$39.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No75c40$30 inLost-$3088057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.