NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2ce4f339679f80e7dcede0e23617dab2e2bbf2e5b6b7aa3f7095fbaa08c528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,649$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 3,895$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,940$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 37c | 1,127$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 1,117$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 735.07$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 30c | 637.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.75 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 496.82$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 482.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 362.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 46c | 326.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 279.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 46c | 212.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 52c | 194.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 56c | 146.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 138.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 133.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 56c | 132.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 97.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 44c | 95.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 56c | 60.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 58.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 53.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 59c | 53.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 35.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 33.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…bb7bbacked Over | 51c | 31.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.