TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Trail Blazers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ce8…63febacked Rockets32c300$96 inWon+$20412543.2%54 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trail Blazers53c277.19$147 inLost-$147.4226353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers45c225.38$100 inLost-$100.461,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Rockets63c187.02$118 inWon+$69.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets39c159.28$61 inWon+$97.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Rockets60c131.67$79 inWon+$52.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Rockets50c108$54 inWon+$543951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers24c68.22$16 inLost-$16.161,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Trail Blazers37c64.15$24 inLost-$23.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…0795backed Trail Blazers37c61.51$23 inLost-$22.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a6…f2e3backed Trail Blazers37c61.36$23 inLost-$22.71850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Rockets66c60.61$40 inWon+$20.6111553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Trail Blazers36c55.56$20 inLost-$2057444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Trail Blazers63c43.01$27 inLost-$27.286355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.