TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,935 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over54c11,200$6,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,04654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under46c10,009$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,405.338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.0469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c4,536$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c4,246$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c4,200$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Over53c3,739$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.863268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over50c3,193$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under53c2,995$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c2,846$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c2,737$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,305$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c1,269$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.792,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c1,264$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c1,180$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.682,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under46c1,107$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c926.44$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c902$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over49c816$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8411942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under48c795$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c670.6$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c581$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over3c507.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c502.4$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c438.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over47c249.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over54c215.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c204.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c203.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c188.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.431,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over49c187.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8517153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under48c162.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over60c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.46355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c139.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c98.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.222,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over31c97.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under69c97.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c92.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.211,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c91.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under45c89.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2410145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over21c82.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.262,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c78.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over55c77.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.786141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under42c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over63c60.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed Over69c59.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c55.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.639055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over50c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9928536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over57c47.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c43.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over53c38.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5152552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1312841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under40c28.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under50c24.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1429645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c24.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.512,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0718261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.