NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8230301c32215abadad118cceb6f7d8113f9dadc73f7652bf4bbfaae07476f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $933,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,044 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 51c | 249,836$126,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,169.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 120,800$60,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,400 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 50c | 102,900$51,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,280.4 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 60,291$29,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,542.59 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 50c | 52,775$26,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,387.59 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 52,564$26,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,730.88 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 51,962$25,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,706.51 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 49,750$24,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,377.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets | 51c | 49,020$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,019.61 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 48,458$23,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,744.43 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 48,263$23,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,766.06 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Rockets | 51c | 35,951$18,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,615.85 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 30,956$15,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,168.95 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 50c | 27,176$13,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,587.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 21,884$11,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,360.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 18,946$9,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,475 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 49c | 15,165$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 49c | 13,544$6,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Rockets | 50c | 9,396$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rockets | 50c | 8,644$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 7,217$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,403$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,015$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 42c | 5,749$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Rockets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 47c | 4,198$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.95 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,809$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.95 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…b415backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,948$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,291$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.21 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 49c | 2,286$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Rockets | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.75 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.94 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Rockets | 51c | 1,910$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,905$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d15dbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…3542backed Rockets | 47c | 1,696$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,678$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Rockets | 47c | 1,611$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,590$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 49c | 1,520$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Rockets | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.7 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,407$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Rockets | 49c | 1,261$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Rockets | 37c | 1,249$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.65 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rockets | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.87 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,202$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Rockets | 52c | 1,081$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.77 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…3215backed Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Rockets | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Rockets | 49c | 793.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.16 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 787.21$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 750.04$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Rockets | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 49c | 700.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Rockets | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Rockets | 50c | 599.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 592.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 559$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 525.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 521.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 48c | 500.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Rockets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…6543backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Rockets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…91e2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 410$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Rockets | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Rockets | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 45c | 373.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Rockets | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 314.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 48c | 290.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Rockets | 40c | 282.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Rockets | 48c | 278.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Rockets | 51c | 261.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 51c | 258.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.