NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c3ab76beeac8215eea37757756c6d948a9fa372101907eeebd443e14ccb64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 30,032$13,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,612.32 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 20,122$11,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,113.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 4,124$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 2,017$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 2,008$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 1,908$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 1,811$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 56c | 1,543$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.12 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Over | 64c | 642.41$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 617.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 37c | 533.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 55c | 377.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 308.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 274.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 53c | 259.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 198.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 189.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 38c | 172.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 55c | 168.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 147.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 44c | 129.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 118.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 115.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Under | 51c | 98.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Under | 66c | 92.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 44c | 60.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 49.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 56c | 42.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 40c | 35.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 32.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 43c | 30.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ae…fd0dbacked Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 44c | 27.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 62c | 26.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Over | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 44c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 18.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…6ee6backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba65…3d7dbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.