TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,968 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c47,256$23,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,646.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over52c10,140$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,232.2654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under50c6,036$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.858838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,645$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c4,350$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.4965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c4,184$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c3,834$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c3,775$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.231,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c3,637$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c3,605$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.232,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c3,097$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.832,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Over51c2,558$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.428148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,470$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8210847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Over48c1,915$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under58c1,818$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.61,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Under52c1,697$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over59c1,603$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Over47c1,304$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.72133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,244$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c1,234$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c1,220$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under58c1,150$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over47c831.91$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39113041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c816.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c745.46$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c699.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c623$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.961,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over52c507.85$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4511942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over47c430$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.120846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c409.27$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.614,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under51c371.45$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0121854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c354.42$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over50c274.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c247.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c227.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.531,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Over47c226.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.613756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over50c223.73$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.917960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed Under52c219$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.133,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10216148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over51c197.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.525151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c191.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under50c190.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over46c189$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.948353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over57c163.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.522453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over51c147.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over43c141.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Under48c124.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.973554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fb…e9b1backed Under41c122.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c113.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c105.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.491,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Over47c101.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c99.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under49c97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4755846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over59c97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under50c96.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c82.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over26c81.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over47c77.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.417153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under34c75.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4337755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over69c67.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.144852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4de…199cbacked Over47c60.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under54c59.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c56.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over25c54.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under50c52.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1525651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over47c52.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4530845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Under49c48.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.972740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over44c46.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.