TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No65c999.96$650 inWon+$349.9926069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes48c742.95$358 inLost-$357.7495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No60c437.5$263 inWon+$1756669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No56c276.48$155 inWon+$121.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f4…1b58backed Yes40c255$102 inLost-$1021030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No62c250$155 inWon+$956361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Yes35c228.57$80 inLost-$805139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes39c201$77 inLost-$77.4615651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49fb…9a62backed Yes35c189.8$67 inLost-$671625%4 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Yes35c174.29$61 inLost-$612030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No43c162$70 inWon+$92.4611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b8…76f2backed Yes35c142.97$50 inLost-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No41c121.95$50 inWon+$71.9597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost-$352458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee76…ef51backed Yes35c85.69$30 inLost-$29.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Yes35c58.21$20 inLost-$20.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…4847backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost-$151040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No41c25.42$10 inWon+$151,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Yes59c25.42$15 inLost-$152524%6 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.