NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda31f238c94e37069152c82906493dd10530bdb706d5e4c2cd7e285d6eac5d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 43c | 6,899$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.36 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 4,260$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 542.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 254.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 251.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 239.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 237.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 185.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 183.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 58c | 151.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 141.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 132.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Under | 41c | 98.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 31c | 89.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 34c | 88.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed Under | 43c | 81.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 48c | 77.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 58c | 70.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 23c | 56.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 41c | 31.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 41c | 30.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 58c | 27.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Under | 44c | 23.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed Over | 58c | 18.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
- Utah vs. Blue JacketsUtah won
- Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.