Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94a000243c39d486296846c66154ae15fc8987b4b0d2430fec6bb7261da885d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Chicago State Cougars, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,142 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 5,517$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.46 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 38c | 3,587$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.92 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 2,865$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 2,776$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.46 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 2,355$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.32 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 2,237$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.18 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 2,103$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 2,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 16c | 2,026$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LIU Sharks | 76c | 1,866$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 1,414$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Chicago State Cougars | 32c | 1,365$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LIU Sharks | 68c | 1,287$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 1,245$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks | 71c | 1,227$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Chicago State Cougars | 15c | 769.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars | 25c | 751.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 743.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 700.67$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 642.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 577.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 569.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed LIU Sharks | 66c | 517.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LIU Sharks | 65c | 475.02$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed LIU Sharks | 67c | 380.78$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked LIU Sharks | 61c | 325.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 30c | 306.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 268.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Chicago State Cougars | 24c | 249.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed LIU Sharks | 63c | 199.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 199.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Chicago State Cougars | 18c | 192.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 165.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LIU Sharks | 62c | 161.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Chicago State Cougars | 36c | 153.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 145.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LIU Sharks | 76c | 139.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LIU Sharks | 60c | 138.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 132.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LIU Sharks | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago State Cougars | 31c | 113.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 106.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked LIU Sharks | 68c | 103.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 96.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 95.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 88.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 84.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Chicago State Cougars | 19c | 84.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 82.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago State Cougars | 14c | 80.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Chicago State Cougars | 20c | 74.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharksthis page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 137.5Over won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-10.5)Chicago State Cougars won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-11.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.