NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3c80f53ad3a494b77348597d108afa0b45cea763c113e2e9fc38bb3d68afa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 65c | 5,265$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.66 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 35c | 4,572$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.37 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over | 65c | 1,494$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 70c | 1,003$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 30c | 985$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 598.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 36c | 543.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 518.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 515.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 36c | 514$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 63c | 382.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 272.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 241$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 35c | 150.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Over | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 64c | 104.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 36c | 67.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 40c | 67.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…ad3fbacked Under | 38c | 66.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Under | 31c | 55.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 39c | 38.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 64c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 36c | 29.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Over | 63c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 66c | 19.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.