South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d535b833fd9df95ef96c75d6119fc4cf7ee8d4885e681678e244afe75590b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 2,789$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 16c | 1,942$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,499$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 48c | 635.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.64 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 587.04$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 4c | 451.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 39c | 448.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 30c | 439.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 35c | 320.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 79c | 196.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 184.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 137.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 77c | 131.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 31c | 117.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 57c | 66.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 55c | 60.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 57.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 36c | 55.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 28c | 52.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 68c | 46.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 65c | 46.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.