South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab9d1ea33cef07d8ecb4b3ed385168de7e7489b94d807f8bac1e3e0ea7b8670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 3,061$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 2,587$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 49c | 2,329$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.77 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 1,970$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.99 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 53c | 1,528$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.55 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 64c | 1,132$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.1 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 62c | 1,103$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 28c | 1,063$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 61c | 956.5$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.06 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 52c | 624.3$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 611.73$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 70c | 589.48$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 387.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 59c | 322.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 279.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 40c | 263.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 249$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 49c | 219.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 202.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 65c | 192.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Yes | 68c | 176.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 171.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 33c | 151.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 57c | 131.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 104.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 104.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 64c | 101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 62c | 97.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0322…77a3backed Yes | 71c | 79.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 70c | 78.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 55c | 75.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 73.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed No | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 65.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 34c | 53.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 67c | 52.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 59c | 52.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 59c | 45.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 32c | 41.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 39.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 43c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 31c | 33.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Yes | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked No | 54c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…758bbacked Yes | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 70c | 20.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…5526backed Yes | 67c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Yes | 65c | 16.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.