F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c2c1ba0f7517cbf45c3f1cd6093f3a8a90ecf7842b85e2d6ca8455dd439763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 13c | 2,163$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 656.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…4c93backed Yes | 34c | 589.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 66c | 354.77$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 44c | 337$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 289.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 266.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 12c | 238.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 54c | 224.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed No | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 66c | 92.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 49c | 91.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…3043backed Yes | 35c | 91.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…fb7abacked Yes | 34c | 89.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked No | 42c | 71.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…9128backed No | 72c | 52.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 60c | 43.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 69c | 40.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed Yes | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…5ac6backed Yes | 34c | 30.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…8b48backed Yes | 73c | 30.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 39c | 28.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.